Economic Report: Mortgage refinancing surges nearly 20% as rates drop to five-month low

Daily Trade

The numbers: Demand for mortgages rose this week as mortgage rates fell to the lowest level since July.

Rates dropped 10 basis points in the last week, and the 30-year rate is 54 basis points lower than a month ago.

Lower rates provided a boost to buying and refinancing demand. The overall market composite index — a measure of mortgage application volume — rose in the latest week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said on Wednesday. 

The market index rose 7.4% to 194.5 for the week ending December 8 from a week earlier. A year ago, the index stood at 210.7.

Key details: Home-buying and refinancing activity increased on the back of lower rates.

The purchase index — which measures mortgage applications for the purchase of a home — rose 3.5% from last week. 

Refinancing activity surged, on the other hand. The refinance index increased by 19.4%, with a “particularly notable increase for FHA and VA refinance applications,” the MBA said.

The average contract rate for the 30-year mortgage for homes sold for $726,200 or less was 7.07% for the week ending December 8. That’s down from 7.17% from the week before. 

The rate for jumbo loans, or the 30-year mortgage for homes sold for over $726,200, was 7.22%, down from 7.35% the previous week. 

The average rate for a 30-year mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration was down to 6.84% from 6.98%.

The 15-year fell to 6.67% from 6.8% from the previous week. 

The rate for adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 6.47% from last week’s 6.58%. 

The big picture: Homeowners, more so than home buyers, are jumping at the dip in rates to refinance their mortgages. 

But most economists expect rates to continue to fall to the 6% range by the end of next year, which could stimulate home-buying.

With majority of homeowners sitting on rates far below that, it may take a while for sales activity to pick up as inventory may remain low. 

What the MBA said: “Mortgage rates dropped last week, as incoming data point to a slowing economy and support a pivot by the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates next year,” said Mike Fratantoni, chief economist and senior vice president at the MBA, said in a statement. 

“Borrowers who had seen rates near 8 percent earlier this fall are now seeing some lenders quote rates below 7 percent,” he added.

Market reaction: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
was below 4.2% in early morning trading Wednesday.

Articles You May Like

Nvidia’s stunning 2024 return has all the makings of a stock-market dynasty
Cathie Wood says her ‘volatile’ ARK Innovation fund shouldn’t be a ‘huge slice of any portfolio’
Top Wall Street analysts are upbeat on these stocks for the long haul
Processed food stocks fall as investors brace for increased scrutiny under Trump, RFK Jr.
Dental supply stock rallies on theory RFK’s anti-fluoride stance will prompt more dentist visits